All In!

Post Mortem

All In! ran for around 2 months. It was an experiment to see how much “money” I could make from betting on sports events. Most tips were based on teams on good form at home playing teams in bad form away. The final stats show I got more right than wrong, but only just. The odds of most my correct tips were below evens, meaning one win very rarely recouped the stake of a lost bet. The result was that the pot slowly got more empty despite more tips being correct than not.

 

Final Stats

WON: 29

LOST: 24

VOID: 3

TOTAL: 53

Win Rate: 54.7%

Current Pot: 1.3units

Bank: -70units

Profit/Loss: -168.7units

 

Intro

I like to make predictions about the outcome of sport events. I don’t want to gamble, so I will play with imaginary units instead of money. I will use odds from Bet365 because they generally offer the best on football and have the widest range of markets. I’ll update my records each time I make a new tip, which will be intermittent.

I start off with 100 units. I will only bet in stakes of 10 units*. Simplicity rocks.

* A “rescue” bet was made on 21/09/2012 which lost, so we owe the “bank” 50 units.

** Accy in the “blow out” lost, so we owe the “bank” another 20 units, so 70 units in total.

 

Records

Football (W29/L22/V3)

 

Coritiba vs Bahia under 2.5 goals at 2.05 = LOST

Fluminese at 1.44 = WON

Nautico at 1.80 = WON

Sao Paulo win -1 handicap at 1.83 = WON

At Mineiro at 1.30 = WON

Gremio vs Botofogo under 4.5 goals at 1.225 = WON

Cruzeiro vs Portugesea – Bet 10U over 1.5 goals at 1.30 = WON

At Mineiro draw at 3.30 = LOST

Corinthians at 1.61 = WON

Vasco at 2.5 = LOST

Barcelona vs Real Madrid – Bet 10U on BTTS at 1.44 = WON

Athletico Madrid vs Malaga – Bet 10U on BTTS at 1.72 = WON

Varbergs vs Halmstad – Bet 10U on Halmstad at 1.90 = LOST

Sporting vs Villarreal – Bet 10U on Villarreal to win DNB at 1.72 = LOST

02/10/2012 Swindon Town vs Colchester – Bet 10U on Swindon to win at 1.57 = LOST

02/10/2012 Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday – Bet 10U on Burnley to win at 2.10 = LOST

02/10/2012 Cardiff City vs Birmingham City – Bet 10U on Cardiff to win at 1.90 = WON

02/10/2012 Bristol City vs Millwall- Bet 10U on Bristol City win or draw at HT to win at 1.28 = WON

01/09/2012 Jonkopings Sodra vs Halmstad – Bet 10U on Halmstad to win at 2.00 = LOST

01/09/2012 Osters vs Umea – Bet 10U on Osters to win at 1.33 = WON

23/09/2012 Botafogo vs Corinthians – Bet 10U on Botafogo to win DNB at 1.50 = VOID

23/09/2012 Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro – Bet 10U on to win at 1.57 = WON

23/09/2012 Sogndal vs Tromso – Bet 10U on under 2.5 goals at 1.89 = WON

23/09/2012 Santos vs Portuguesa – Bet 10U on Santos to win at 2.20 = LOST

22/09/2012 Fluminense vs Nautico – Bet 10U on Fluminese to win at 1.33 = WON

22/09/2012 Aalesund vs Lillestrom – Bet 10U on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 = WON

15/09/2012 Fluminese vs Atletico GO – Bet 10U on Fluminese to win at 1.40 = LOST

15/09/2012 Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers – Bet 10U on Gillingham to win DNB at 1.30 = WON

15/09/2012 America RN vs Sao Caetano – Bet 10U on over 2.5 goals at 1.95 = LOST

14/09/2012 Gremio vs Nautico – Bet 10U on Gremio -1 handicap at 1.575 = WON

14/09/2012 Botafogo vs Internacional  – Bet 10U on Botafogo DNB at 1.50 = VOID

13/09/2012 Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo – Bet 10U on under 2.5 goals at 1.95 = WON

12-13/09/2012 Wildcard accy, 1U on games at Corinthians, Atletico GO and Santos all to draw at 48.44 = LOST

12/09/2012 Mexico vs Costa Rica – Bet 10 units on Mexico to win at 1.20 = WON

12/09/2012 Uruguay vs Ecuador – Bet 10 units on Uruguay to win at 1.40 = LOST

12/09/2012 USA vs Jamaica – Bet 10 units on USA to win at 1.33 = WON

12/09/2012 Scotland vs FYR Macedonia – Bet 10 units on Scotland to win at 1.80 = LOST

12/09/2012 Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg – Bet 10 units on Northern Ireland to win at 1.44 = LOST

10/09/2012 Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk – Bet 10U on over 2.5 goals in 90 mins at 1.53 = WON

09/09/2012 Athletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras – Bet 10U Athletico Mineiro to win at 1.61 = WON

09/09/2012 Arsenal Women vs Lincoln Women – Bet 20U Arsenal Women to win at 1.20 = WIN

08/09/2012 Criciuma vs America Mineiro – Bet 10U Criciuma to win at 1.80 = LOST

08/09/2012 Ipatinga vs Vitoria – Bet 10U Vitoria to win draw no bet at 1.40 = VOID

08/09/2012 Joinville vs Avai – Bet 10U Joinville to win draw no bet at 1.40 =WIN

08/09/2012 CRB vs Goias – Bet 10U  Goias to win or draw at 1.33 = LOST

07/09/2012 Germany vs Faroe Islands 10U Germany win -4 handicap = LOST

07/09/2012 Russia vs Northern Ireland 10U Russia to win at 1.25 = WON

05/09/2012 Bragantino vs Sao Caetano 10U Sao Caetano to win draw no bet at 1.53 = WON

05/09/2012 Guaratinguetá vs CRB 10U Guaratinguetá to win or draw double chance = LOST

04/09/2012 Atlético-PR  vs Boa 10 units on under 2.5 goals = LOST

03/09/2012 Degerfors -vs- Falkenberg 10U on BTTS at 1.5 = WON

01/08/2012 Gillingham -vs- Chesterfield 10U on Gillingham at 2.00 = LOST

28/08/12 Vitoria -vs- Gremio Barueri 10U on Vitoria to win at 1.33 = WON

Tennis (W0/L2)

 

04/09/2012 Andy Murray vs Milos Raonic 10U Tie break anytime Yes = LOST

03/09/2012 John Isner vs Philipp Kohlschreiber 10U Tie break anytime Yes = LOST

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